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NOAA's Winter Outlook Favors Warmer, Wetter Conditions for Mid-Atlantic

NOAA’s Winter Outlook Favors Warmer, Wetter Conditions for Mid-Atlantic

NOAA's updated 2026-2027 Winter Outlook favors warmer-than-average temperatures and above-normal precipitation across the Mid-Atlantic, reflecting the expected influence of a strong to very strong El Niño. The forecast could bring additional moisture to ski areas, but whether it falls as snow, rain, sleet, or freezing rain will depend on shorter-term temperature and storm patterns.
Mountain Weather

Mid-Atlantic Skiers' Forecast

Updated an hour ago

A wet, warm system will affect much of the region tonight and Friday, with showers and highs mainly in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Lower-elevation areas near Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Harrisburg will be especially mild, including highs near 81-82 at Liberty Mountain, Whitetail, and Bryce. Conditions turn cooler and breezier Saturday, with additional showers possible.

The higher West Virginia mountains will be the regional outlier. Snowshoe drops to the upper 30s Saturday with a chance of rain and snow, while Timberline, Canaan Valley Resort, Wisp, and Winterplace also turn sharply cooler. Clear skies and lows in the upper 20s and 30s Saturday night should create potential snowmaking temperatures at many mountain locations, but the forecast offers little meaningful natural snow beyond the rain/snow chance at Snowshoe. Afterward, Sunday through Tuesday looks dry, sunny, and generally mild.

Weather Fact of the Day
Windward Appalachian slopes can keep producing snow even after a storm’s main precipitation shield has weakened. Persistent west or northwest winds repeatedly lift air over the ridges, wringing out moisture in bands that may stall for hours -- while valleys just a few miles away sit under clearing skies.
DCSki regional outlook based on National Weather Service forecasts for Mid-Atlantic ski areas.
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