Skiing Weatherman's Overview for the Season
November 11, 2004
Good report - hope it's correct. Thanks.
Great technical forecast! I might add that when the Mid-Atlantic has a colder than normal November, it is followed by a colder than normal Winter 2/3 of the time; conversely, when we have a warmer than normal November, it is followed by a warmer than normal Winter 2/3 of the time. So, lets watch how this month (November) averages out. Also, it is somewhat rare for the Mid-Atlantic to have 3 colder than normal Winters (with higher than average snowfall) in a row. Given that the past 2 Winters were colder than normal (with higher than average snowfall) in the Mid-Atlantic, I believe that the Winter of 2004-2005 will be slightly warmer than normal (with slightly below average snowfall). And, there's a good chance that the Mid-Atlantic with be hit with a couple of significant freezing rain events this Winter.
I think one of his key points is that snow begets snow. We're looking at a snow event tonight in Allegheny Mountains. This could have a very positive impact on Snowshoe and Timberline's snowmaking efforts.
You've just got to love any forecast that manages to tie together technical stuff like the NAO with the food-gathering habits of squirrels. The ultimate fusion of old-school and new -school forecasting.
p.s. Warren Miller flick showing tonite in Cville! Woo-hoo!
