Prelim Accuweather's Bastardi Winter Forecast
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The Colonel
June 5, 2010
Member since 03/5/2004 🔗
3,110 posts
From Joe Bastardi of Accuweather (you might remember he had last Winter pegged perfectly):
"Since you are such a great audience, here it is, the preliminary winter idea will now be revealed:
Winter: Here are some main points... 1) There is a threat of a cold winter from the Pacific Northwest through the northern Plains into the Northeast. 2) The southern Plains to the mid-Atlantic will have above-normal temps with near- or below-normal snowfall. 3) Freezing rain events, rather than snow, will be a bigger problem than last year from the central Plains to the interior Northeast. 4) Pacific Northwest should be colder and snowier than normal, and there is a chance over the Northeast that this could be the case, too. One of the analogs is 1995-1996, so you can see there is room for contradictions in the central Plains to the mid-Atlantic. 5) CANADA WILL BE MUCH MUCH COLDER. BRUTAL WINTER IN ALASKA. 6) Texas and Florida will probably have the greatest flip to a winter that is very unlike their winters last year. 7) All is not painted rosy here . a) Because of the major cold in Canada, a couple of severe cold shots can interrupt the blissful picture I am painting. Remember in one of the analog winters 1998-1999, Chicago had you-know-what to pay for the first couple of weeks of January with temperatures 10 degrees below normal and 30 inches of snow. But the winter wound up 4.9 above normal with 34 inches of snow. b) The volcanic activity of 2009, not the recent Icelandic one, is still a consideration along with low sunspot activity. These wild cards may tip the balance a bit colder than the implications here.
Still population weighted, I don't think this is near the winter of last year"

Maybe good for Mid-Atlantic skiers, maybe not so good. Definitely not as great as his forecast for the winter of 09-10 issued about this time last year.

But all in all, not too bad!
The Colonel smile

Ski and Tell

Speak truth to powder.

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