where will the best conditions be tomorrow???
March 9, 2013
OK, taking a day off and located in Winchester, so T-Line is 2:00, Blue Knob is 2:00, Whitetail is 1:00, Wintergreen is 2:00, Massanutten is 1:15. Love the trees, so T-Line is calling BUT if Wintergreen or Massanutten got a dump and will have good conditions (ungroomed stuff), I would go there. I noticed Wintergreen closed today (winds and power outrage), so maybe it is not tracked up too badly. Anyhow, want to get some opinions out there!
Definitely Timberline/Canaan Valley. The temp will remain mostly below freezing point there while it will warm up too much at Wintergreen and Mass -- good if you like soft snow, but I am sure most of us prefer powder!
Tomorrow in the valley will be epic!
Don't count on powder at WTG, but I would expect the snow conditions to remain good through Friday (the high Thurs is only 35F, and that's not warm enough to really offset the cooling capacity of their deep snow base.
The real problem across the whole region tomorrow will be wind, in the 20-28mph range with gusts into the 37mph range. That can cause issues with lift operations, and also impact power and travel with all the heavy snow in the trees. Friday may actually be the better day to ski overall.
Don't count on powder at WTG, but I would expect the snow conditions to remain good through Friday (the high Thurs is only 35F, and that's not warm enough to really offset the cooling capacity of their deep snow base.
The real problem across the whole region tomorrow will be wind, in the 20-28mph range with gusts into the 37mph range. That can cause issues with lift operations, and also impact power and travel with all the heavy snow in the trees. Friday may actually be the better day to ski overall.
Great to see your post and the good prognosis for WGN on Friday, skier219! Hope to get up there soon ... and still enjoyin' my Dynastar Legends you helped me choose.
Woody
The real problem across the whole region tomorrow will be wind, in the 20-28mph range with gusts into the 37mph range.
Where are you getting that info?
NWS point forecasts:
Davis, WV
A chance of snow showers, mainly between noon and 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Northwest wind 9 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Canaan Heights, WV
A chance of snow showers, mainly between 11am and 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
According to the forecast on WTG's site, tomorrow's high will be around 39 F while in the valley, high will be around 31 F (using zip 26260 on NWS)
The condition at Canaan valley / Timberline should be great until Saturday when temp soars up to the 50's!
The condition at Canaan valley / Timberline should be great until Saturday when temp soars up to the 50's!
Comon baby...roll the dice..here it comes...I predict a high sat at TL of 41 on top and 45 at the bottom...
...Whitegrass...or anywhere in the backcountry around Canaan Valley that is decent angle...
The real problem across the whole region tomorrow will be wind, in the 20-28mph range with gusts into the 37mph range.
Where are you getting that info?
Weather model ensemble for WTG (my own special sauce). I was there today and the winds were less steady than expected, but definitely gusting up into the 30-40mph range periodically, especially at the top of the Highlands. At the top of Cliffhanger, the new snow was scoured down to boilerplate, which was a sight to see. Thankfully, down lower on the hill, the wind wasn't bad at all.
According to the forecast on WTG's site, tomorrow's high will be around 39 F while in the valley, high will be around 31 F (using zip 26260 on NWS)
I don't think WTG's forecast on their website is very good -- I suspect it's possibly a valley forecast. It's always about 4-7deg warmer than reality and my models. For a while they were using the NWS point forecast on their site, which was decent, but they've always been challenged with good weather info on their site. Maybe they are marketing to southern skiers and trying to make it appear warmer than it is!
It definitely felt warm at the base of the Highlands lift today, which is lower in elevation than other parts of the mountain, plus the sun was scorching with all the snow reflection (felt like the beach). Other parts of the mountain were cool and comfortable. The natural snow held up well.
Great to see your post and the good prognosis for WGN on Friday, skier219! Hope to get up there soon ... and still enjoyin' my Dynastar Legends you helped me choose.
Woody
Glad to hear that Woody -- the Legends are still one of my all time favorite skis.
Weather model ensemble for WTG (my own special sauce).
The real problem across the whole region tomorrow will be wind
???
The OP was asking about PA (several spots), WV and VA. And you're saying wind will be a problem for "the whole region" while using your "special sauce model for WTG" ???
Extrapolation much?
Weather model ensemble for WTG (my own special sauce).
The real problem across the whole region tomorrow will be wind
???
The OP was asking about PA (several spots), WV and VA. And you're saying wind will be a problem for "the whole region" while using your "special sauce model for WTG" ???
Extrapolation much?
My apologies, I thought we were primarily talking about WTG and Mass at the time based on the OP's statements -- both resorts had a lot of wind today and it will continue into tomorrow. I can run the weather model for any other lat/lon of interest if it helps. The forecast models use a grid with 1km resolution in the mountains so there's no need to generalize or extrapolate.
Speaking of all time favorite skis, I saw a dude rocking vintage neon-yellow Kastle RX-S skis today. I had bought a pair in 1989 and wore them out by 1993, yet this dude's skis still looked brand new. I'd be afraid of the old Geze bindings though.
...best chance in Mid-Atlantic at getting fresh deep powder and blue bird sunshine tom. at a resort---whitegrass...
Skier219, your comments about wind led me to check Friday forecasts more closely. Ended up choosing Blue Knob for my son and his friends (who'd never heard of BK). Despite preferring fast lifts, they loved the conditions and runs at Blue Knob today. Thanks!
Woody
...best chance in Mid-Atlantic at getting fresh deep powder and blue bird sunshine tom. at a resort---whitegrass...
I would have to concur. weird fog this am, but still pure powder skiing as of last night on a 600' vert run from the top of forest road 80 through the trees down to the doggie friendly timberline trail at wg...say what?! Surprised how little tracked up white grass was yesterday in the usually tracked glades....we actually broke trail up forest rd 80 three days after the dump? that was surprising, but maybe that is because you can literally ski a-n-y-w-h-e-r-e on the mountain with this much base and pow. And the 50K of groomed trails twisting and winding up, down and all around are so soft and buff it will blow your mind.
Temps supposed to warm up. This could be it for powder skiin in the mid-atlantic this year...you have today left to get on it!
.....time to make the granola bars
...best chance in Mid-Atlantic at getting fresh deep powder and blue bird sunshine tom. at a resort---whitegrass...
I would have to concur. weird fog this am
Temps supposed to warm up. This could be it for powder skiin in the mid-atlantic this year...you have today left to get on it!
.....time to make the granola bars
12.9 at the base of TL..and 27 at the top....Inversion..warmer air moving in...Islands in the sky look for the Valley...U catch it Viola?
The condition at Canaan valley / Timberline should be great until Saturday when temp soars up to the 50's!
Comon baby...roll the dice..here it comes...I predict a high sat at TL of 41 on top and 45 at the bottom...
Wahh...wahhh..waowwwhhh...(Losing game show sound)..48 at the bottom..45 on top...
PS..Although..folks seem to be way over dressed up at TL for those temps(r they right?)...what did it feel like up there?..did it hold up or get slushy?..
PS part 2...3800' dolly sods cam shows 44 at 2pm..seems like a nice day!
The condition at Canaan valley / Timberline should be great until Saturday when temp soars up to the 50's!
Comon baby...roll the dice..here it comes...I predict a high sat at TL of 41 on top and 45 at the bottom...
Wahh...wahhh..waowwwhhh...(Losing game show sound)..48 at the bottom..45 on top...
PS..Although..folks seem to be way over dressed up at TL for those temps(r they right?)...what did it feel like up there?..did it hold up or get slushy?..
PS part 2...3800' dolly sods cam shows 44 at 2pm..seems like a nice day!
The snow was in great shape when I had to around 11:30. Still very dry. Nice and soft in the trees. Hadn't gotten to heavy yet.
Gonna be some sweet corn tomorrow.