Just received this email from the resort:
Making Snow November 12-13!
With the forecast calling for some cold temps this week, we turned on the guns Tuesday morning and have been making snow ever since. Mother Nature helped us out with over 6 inches of snow!
Things may warm up for a few days, but more chilling temperatures will arrive next week. Amos, our Mountain Manager, and his crew are hoping to lay down a few deep piles of snow so we can "bank it" and add it to what Mother Nature and our snow guns will provide in the coming month. This is one of the earliest snowmaking dates for several years! Looking forward to a great season and seeing you on the slopes!
Opening day remains the same: 12 December. Still, this is encouraging...
With each run of the wx mod..(just got back from Mexico...run(s)..bad wd amigos!..)...It looks like there will be a snowmaking cold shot from the 23rd on thru T-gvng week..Lets see who Blows the Hardest!...opps..wrong thread..Brain Damage from 8 days in....".Hey Amigo..anada shotto Tequilla??!"..land..
PS..a couple days of snow making could be had bfore that...just talking about the most important stretch leading to the big weekend...don't know how serious Timberline is after reading a few posts here..(for more than mid station on opening date)
they made enough to ski on...friends took my dog hikin today and sent me this.........
Video gets the blood flowing!
Thanks, The Colonel
Watched all kinds of folks skiing WL from the top yesterday. Had to hike for turns but evidently was good enough to do.
kwillg6 wrote:
Watched all kinds of folks skiing WL from the top yesterday. Had to hike for turns but evidently was good enough to do.
Watched? No first-person conditions report?
We're working overtime to have the condo ready for when the lifts actually are running. Getting tight for time with all we have to do. Thgen there's the work at Bonner and the new place we just bought this summer .
It looked like they were blowing snow again on the cam this morning, but have since stopped. Also snowshoe has been making snow for the last 12 hours or so. I may have to make a black friday trip. Watching these webcams is killing me. I need to make some turns.
AndyGene wrote:
I may have to make a black friday trip. Watching these webcams is killing me.
Ditto.
SS kicked the guns on last night at 10PM and are still running as of 4 PM today. It looks like they will be able to run thru the night tonight and into Wed AM.
Temps have been below freezing all day at the top of TL..just climbing to or slightly above at the base...
27 right now at the base of TL..22/23 at the top..down to the mid teens tonite....if your serious blow..otherwise ur just playing...SS dont play!
Next time to play is as I posted and still on time..23rd-27th..break..then back on early Dec....
I think SS will pull off some skiing t-giving!..wish them the best..
Anyone want to do some hiking in CV on Thursday morning?
fishnski wrote:
Next time to play is as I posted and still on time..23rd-27th...
Unless this happens...
^^^^^^^THAT looks great! Keep us posted as it develops. I won't be able to directly participate since I'll be in Nebraska November 27-December 2 for Thanksgiving. Hopefully it comes big and lays down a good starter base that will stick around and actually enhance the skiing beyond just a few days. With it being late November when it might happen, it might just do that!
So wait, we're talking snow in the WVa mountains Nov 27-28? How much are we talking? Too early to say?
eggraid wrote:
So wait, we're talking snow in the WVa mountains Nov 27-28? How much are we talking? Too early to say?
From what i can tell its going to be a glancing blow for the Alpps (WV )..Gfs model has had it too far off the coast and the Euro has it hugging in tight bringing warmer air up at first before swinging bck off the coast and up..sooo...a hybrid f-cast would be rain to snow with a little gusty backside snow as it heads on up and out.
We shall see but im not ready to bolt up there for a Thankgiving treat just yet.....gotta get thru ths arctic shot coming this weekend first!
I see this one wx forecaster that has become a little more bullish on the storm potential for 11/27. I hope he's correct.
Next 7 days look SWEET for the Mid-Atlantic resorts as far as snowmaking and some natural snowfall. Most resorts should get an extended shot of snowmaking from saturday night through monday fllowed by rain changing to snow tuesday-tuesday night (less certain) then another snowmaking shot wednesday through the weekend.
The Tuesday-Wednesday storm is still a toss up. Could be a little rain folowed by a few inches of white stuff for only the highlands or could be a major blast of snow for most resorts (even more local areas). Either way, resorts should be able to kick snowmaking back into high gear on Wednesday and the long range patter is shaping up very nice for this time of year.
Blue Don 1982 wrote:
I see this one wx forecaster that has become a little more bullish on the storm potential for 11/27. I hope he's correct.
This is either the greatest coup in GFS history, or yet another epic failure taking storm out to sea. No other global model in agreement....
The GFS has been consistent in taking the next system..the one after this nice actic blast Lake effect..up the coast a little too far off to do too much damage..I read the weather blog Guru's and a lot of them totally diss the GFS but i have seen this model make them look like a bunch of hyping fools!.....Sooooo...Im still keeping with my 1st call scenerio made yest..look above..
The arctic gush of cold air over the lakes is a couple of hours away from depositing that lake effect moisture as it rides up the alpps and into the land of canaan....
Do you think anyone at TL has noticed that their webcam is facing a wall?!!!!
so much for staying on top of positive things!
The Colonel
The Colonel wrote:
Do you think anyone at TL has noticed that their webcam is facing a wall?!!!!
so much for staying on top of positive things!
The Colonel
It was pointed in the right direction earlier this morning. They were blowing snow hard at the base in the view I saw. Given how windy it is here in the lowlands of DC, it wouldn't surprise me if the wind somehow blew the camera in the wrong direction.
It must be brutal up there at 3000 feet cause it is brutal down here today. Coldest windiest day in a long time.
Camera now shows slopes & snowmaking!
the Colonel
Was planning to drive up there early this AM and hike for some. Glad now I turned off the alarm at 4:30 and went to the Pro Fit Ski Swap instead.
fishnski wrote:
eggraid wrote:
So wait, we're talking snow in the WVa mountains Nov 27-28? How much are we talking? Too early to say?
"From what i can tell its going to be a glancing blow for the Alpps (WV )..Gfs model has had it too far off the coast and the Euro has it hugging in tight bringing warmer air up at first before swinging bck off the coast and up..sooo...a hybrid f-cast would be rain to snow with a little gusty backside snow as it heads on up and out.
We shall see but im not ready to bolt up there for a Thankgiving treat just yet.....gotta get thru ths arctic shot coming this weekend first!"Ok.that was my post 2 days ago...here is the latest NWS forecast discussion....we have two more days to go bfore the event..
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN ZONES LATER MONDAY NIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY BEGIN BRIEFLY AS SNOW. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL NOT BE FAR BEHIND AS 850MB TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB ABOVE ZERO AND INTO THE MID SINGLE DIGITS CELSIUS. IT IS AT THIS POINT WHEN WE WILL SEE THE CHANGES OF PRECIPITATION TYPE. BECAUSE OF THE SPEED OF THE ADVECTION...WHICH MODELS ARE HINTING TO BE QUICK...DO NOT HAVE OVER ZEALOUS AMOUNTS OF ICE IN THE GRIDS. THIS SOMEWHAT GOES AGAINST THE GRAIN OF WPC PROJECTIONS WHICH HAS OVER A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY IN THE MOUNTAINS. JUSTIFY THIS BY THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND THE FACT THAT THIS IS NOT A COLD AIR DAMMING SCENARIO WHERE SHALLOW ARCTIC AIR WOULD BE STUBBORN TO SCOUR OUT...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR EASTERN SLOPES. THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS AND DOWN INTO THE VIRGINIA COUNTIES AT THE MOMENT ARE THE BEST CANDIDATES FOR ANY ACCUMULATION OF ICE. LOWLAND AREAS ARE LESS LIKELY TO SEE ICE...BUT NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION. STILL...WILL EXPECT A RAPID SWITCH TO RAIN...AND HAVE THE ENTIRE CWA IN RAIN BY 18Z OR SO. 850MB TEMPERATURES DROP LIKE A ROCK AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY AS THE NORTHERN STREAM 500MB TROUGH AXIS BEGINS ITS PUSH FROM THE WEST AND COLD AIR COLLAPSING INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. IT THEN BECOMES A RACE BETWEEN THE COLD AIR MOVING AND THE MOISTURE LIFTING OUT...WITH THE INTERSECTION OF THESE TWO RESULTING IN A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW WITH SOME ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. AGAIN...TRENDED DOWN FROM THE GUIDANCE PROVIDED BY WPC WHICH PUTS 4-6 INCHES FROM POINT PLEASANT NORTH INTO WASHINGTON AND TYLER COUNTIES. IN THE END...FEEL AN INCH OR TWO OVER THE LOWLANDS WAS BEST...WITH THAT AMOUNT DOUBLED OVER THE MOUNTAINS AS A BRIEF NORTHWEST FLOW EVENT FOLLOWS THE SYSTEM. WILL SEE TEMPERATURES BACK IN THE 20S AND 30S AS WE HEAD INTO THANKSGIVING DAY.Soooo...if this storm bombs out like some hypsters will have u believe then im comfortlably going down with the NWS.....Amapro weather service?...still looking for my first customer...this aint my first big job homey's!...ok throw me some hate...u know who u r...
Too many words...give me the 1 sentence summary!
Snow to rain to fzn rain to sleet back to snowg then to the blow....it will be a nasty storm anyway u look at it with snow accum hard to pinpoint with the frzy stuff...ill go out on a snowy limb and say up to 6 " for canaan when its all said and DONE!!...ur crazy boy!..LOL..
Scottycast; Periods of light followed by periods of dark.
Was in the valley this past weekend. It was a balmy 9 F yesterday morning and got up to 12 by the time we left in the afternoon. Hope folks have heat on in their houses/units or they will find a messy treat when they get there later on.
